UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
69%
Soriano
31%
Lungiambula
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soriano
Soriano holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lungiambula has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lungiambula has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Soriano
Lungiambula
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
+76"
33+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Lungiambula
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
25.1
52.0
Performance Avg
33.9
44
Quality of Victory
38
64
Momentum Score
30
Soriano
Lungiambula
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Soriano
Lungiambula
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Lungiambula
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
20
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Soriano
Lungiambula
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
30
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Soriano
Lungiambula
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Lungiambula
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SorianoLungiambula
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLungiambula
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (83% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Lungiambula targets the body (100% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Lungiambula
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01