METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Featherweight
VS
58%
Topuria
42%
Holloway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:34
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:34
def. Max Holloway · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Topuria at 58% vs Holloway at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TopuriaHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Topuria
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
69"
29+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Topuria
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.3
56.9
73.5
Performance Avg
57.7
62
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
63
Topuria
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
6.0
3.6
Style: Volume
4.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
7
3
Body
3
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance14
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Topuria
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Topuria
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Topuria
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Topuria
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
54%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Topuria
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TopuriaHolloway
Strike Zones
Topuria
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Topuria targets the head (76% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (50% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Topuria
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Topuria · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04