METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Hollywood, USA
10 Oct 2006
Welterweight
VS
88%
Alves
12%
Alessio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Alessio · Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alves is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesAlessio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Alessio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Alessio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
2.2
47.3
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Alves
Alessio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
33%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
3
Body
0
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance4
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Alves
Alessio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Alessio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/52 fights
Alves
Alessio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Alves
Alessio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Alessio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AlvesAlessio
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlessio
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (46% of attacks) — Alessio absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Alessio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Alessio
0/0R00/0
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Alessio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
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Alessio · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shane RollerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Mark BocekRating 5.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
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Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
L · Sub · R2
Pat MiletichRating 2.8Submission
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