UFC 78: Validation
Newark, USA
17 Nov 2007
Welterweight
VS
57%
Gono
43%
McCrory
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gono
This is a genuine toss-up — Gono at 57% vs McCrory at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McCrory has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McCrory has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gono
McCrory
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'4"
68"
Reach
+76"
51
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Switch
Gono
McCrory
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
14.3
43.0
Performance Avg
44.7
50
Quality of Victory
45
52
Momentum Score
20
Gono
McCrory
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
2
Body
2
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Gono
McCrory
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gono
McCrory
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/56 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Gono
McCrory
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Gono
McCrory
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gono
McCrory
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
GonoMcCrory
Strike Zones
Gono
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMcCrory
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gono targets the legs (64% of attacks) — McCrory absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯McCrory targets the body (40% of attacks) — Gono absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gono
RND
McCrory
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
McCrory · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Gono · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
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UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
McCrory · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
Josh SammanRating 5.5Submission
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