METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
71%
Magny
29%
Larkin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:08
★ Official Result
Lorenz LarkinwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:08
def. Neil Magny · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Larkin wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Magny is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagnyLarkin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magny
Larkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
72"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Larkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
20.5
48.3
Performance Avg
47.0
37
Quality of Victory
45
81
Momentum Score
92
Magny
Larkin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.7
5.8
Style: Volume
4.2
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
1
Body
6
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
6Distance22
2Clinch10
0Ground0
Magny
Larkin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Larkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/46 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Magny
Larkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
92
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Magny
Larkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
60%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Larkin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MagnyLarkin
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedLarkin
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (63% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Larkin targets the head (41% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Larkin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
Larkin · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01