UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2011
Middleweight
VS
67%
Tavares
33%
Simpson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tavares
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Simpson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Tavares throws more volume but Simpson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simpson has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tavares
Simpson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Simpson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
17.5
40.1
Performance Avg
46.0
29
Quality of Victory
34
49
Momentum Score
76
Tavares
Simpson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch6
0Ground1
Tavares
Simpson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Simpson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
11/17 fights
Tavares
Simpson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tavares
Simpson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Simpson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
TavaresSimpson
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSimpson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (67% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Simpson targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Simpson
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Simpson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07