UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
41%
Veretennikov
59%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:31
Nikolay
Nikolay Veretennikov
"Gladiator"
14 – 8
6'1"74" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Khaos
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16 – 5
Striker32 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'0"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Williams

This is a genuine toss-up — Veretennikov at 41% vs Williams at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Veretennikov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Veretennikov's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Veretennikov
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Veretennikov
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
63.7
38.8
Performance Avg
54.6
43
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
87
Veretennikov
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
3
Body
7
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance20
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Veretennikov
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Veretennikov
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Veretennikov
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
87
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Veretennikov
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Veretennikov
Williams
Striking5.7 / 8.4Volume4.7 / 3.6Grappling1.2 / 0.7Wrestling0.8 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Veretennikov
Strike Zones
Williams
Veretennikov
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY5LEGS21 absorbed
Williams
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY5LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Veretennikov targets the head (62% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (43% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Veretennikov
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Veretennikov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.2L4.0L5.2W6.5L5.7W2.9L2024-082025-022025-072025-102026-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.5W6.1L5.0W6.1W6.4L4.5W5.8W4.5L5.7L5.4W2020-022021-062023-052025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Veretennikov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Williams · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Nikolay Veretennikov · Khaos Williams
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