METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
41%
Veretennikov
59%
Williams
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:31
★ Official Result
Khaos WilliamswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:31
def. Nikolay Veretennikov · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Williams
→
Actual result
Williams wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Veretennikov at 41% vs Williams at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Veretennikov's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VeretennikovWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Veretennikov
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Veretennikov
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
63.7
38.8
Performance Avg
54.6
43
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
87
Veretennikov
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
8.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
4.7
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
3
Body
7
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance20
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Veretennikov
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Veretennikov
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Veretennikov
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
87
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Veretennikov
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Veretennikov
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
VeretennikovWilliams
Strike Zones
Veretennikov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Veretennikov targets the head (62% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (43% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Veretennikov
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Veretennikov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
Williams · Last 5
Upcoming
Roberto SoldicUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
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