UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
62%
Garbrandt
38%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garbrandt
Garbrandt holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Jones has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garbrandt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Garbrandt
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
35.1
51.6
Performance Avg
41.0
47
Quality of Victory
55
97
Momentum Score
26
Garbrandt
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
38%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch1
1Ground4
Garbrandt
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garbrandt
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Garbrandt
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
26
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Garbrandt
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garbrandt
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
GarbrandtJones
Strike Zones
Garbrandt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedJones
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (73% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garbrandt
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Jones · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 4.3Submission
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W · KO · R2
Mario BautistaRating 6.3KO/TKO
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