Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Welterweight

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Manchester, United Kingdom

27 Jul 2024

Welterweight

51%

Edwards

49%

Muhammad

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Leon Edwards

"Rocky"

22 – 6

6'2"74" reachSouthpaw35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Belal Muhammad

"Remember the Name"

24 – 5

Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 56

★ Official Result

Belal MuhammadwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Leon Edwards · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Edwards

→

Actual result

Muhammad wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 51% vs Muhammad at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Muhammad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

EdwardsMuhammad

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Edwards

Muhammad

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

5'11"

74"+

Reach

72"

35+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Edwards

Muhammad

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

57.4

55.8

51.1

Performance Avg

47.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Edwards

Muhammad

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

4.2

Style: Pressure

3.5

7.2

Style: Volume

7.8

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance13

0Clinch0

6Ground0

Edwards

Muhammad

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.3

/ 10

2.5

/ 10

1.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Edwards

Muhammad

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

19 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/28 fights

Chin rating based on

22/29 fights

Edwards

Muhammad

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R4

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Edwards

Muhammad

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

29%

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards

Muhammad

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.8

2.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.5

1.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.7

4.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

7.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.8

Edwards

Strike Zones

Muhammad

Edwards

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Muhammad

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Edwards targets the head (85% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 85% of strikes there

🎯Muhammad targets the head (85% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards

RND

Muhammad

0/0R00/0

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

L · Sub · R4

Sean Brady

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

L · Dec · R5

Belal Muhammad

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R5

Colby Covington

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

W · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Muhammad · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Gabriel Bonfim

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

L · Dec · R5

Jack Della Maddalena

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · Dec · R5

Leon Edwards

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R5

Gilbert Burns

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Leon Edwards · Belal Muhammad

← Back to fights