METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A 24-year-old submission specialist with three recorded fights against a flyweight who has been knocked out twice and rates 52 for durability.
Rei Tsuruya has three recorded fights and a 56.6 composite rating, and the first of those facts should temper the second. Three is the minimum sample the model will work with, and it is not enough to trust the number to a decimal place. What it is enough for is a direction, and the direction is emphatic. He is 24, he is 10-1, and his style profile is the most one-sided in this pairing: a grapplin…
Tsuruya (10-1) has only three recorded fights, so his 56.6 composite deserves scepticism. He submitted Luis Gurule in the first round in May at bantamweight, beat Carlos Hernandez on the cards in June 2024, and lost a decision to Joshua Van in March 2025. At 24 he is the younger man by four years, with a 98.0 chin rating and a 0.5 finish rate.
Borjas (10-5) beat Andre Lima by decision in June 2026 but has lost three of his recorded five, including second-round knockouts by Imanol Rodriguez in February and Alessandro Costa in May 2024. A 25.0 momentum score, a 31.0 composite and a 0.0 finish rate across six recorded UFC fights.
Three recorded fights behind Tsuruya's 56.6 composite — a thin base for a 25-point gap
A 5.0 submission score against 0.0, and Borjas has never been submitted
Borjas' 8.67 volume with a 0.67 striking score: output that does not deter
The Joshua Van decision loss — the template for beating Tsuruya is staying upright for fifteen minutes
A 52.0 chin against two second-round knockout losses in the recorded five
Tsuruya's ratings rest on three fights; the 56.6 may be overstated in either direction
Borjas beat Andre Lima, a competent grappler, on the cards in June — his takedown defence is better than the 31.0 composite implies
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown