UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Cutelaba
61%
Jacoby
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jacoby
Jacoby holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cutelaba has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jacoby has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
62.1
47.1
Performance Avg
53.8
47
Quality of Victory
48
26
Momentum Score
91
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
29
1
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance30
4Clinch2
0Ground1
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
91
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Jacoby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
CutelabaJacoby
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedJacoby
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (85% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
Navajo StirlingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
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Oumar SyRating 6Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
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