UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Lightweight
VS
90%
Hooper
10%
Fiore
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooper
Hooper is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Fiore connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper
Fiore
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
26+
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hooper
Fiore
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
5.8
51.8
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Hooper
Fiore
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
18
8
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance10
3Clinch5
4Ground4
Hooper
Fiore
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Fiore
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Hooper
Fiore
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hooper
Fiore
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Fiore
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HooperFiore
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedFiore
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (70% of attacks) — Fiore absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Fiore targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Fiore
0/0R00/0
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Fiore · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
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Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
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Fiore · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1Decision
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