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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Lightweight
VS
91%
Hooper
9%
Fiore
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Chase
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
165
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
NF
Nick Fiore
62
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 6
★ Official Result
Chase HooperwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nick Fiore · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooper
Actual result
Hooper wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Hooper is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Risk flags

Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HooperFiore
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hooper
Fiore
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
26+
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hooper
Fiore
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
5.8
53.5
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Hooper
Fiore
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.1
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
18
8
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance10
3Clinch5
4Ground4
Hooper
Fiore
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hooper
Fiore
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Hooper
Fiore
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hooper
Fiore
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooper
Fiore
Striking3.5 / 0.0Volume3.1 / 0.0Grappling5.0 / 0.0Wrestling3.5 / 0.0Submission5.6 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hooper
Strike Zones
Fiore
Hooper
Attacking
23HEAD8BODY2LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Fiore
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD8BODY2LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (70% of attacks) — Fiore absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Fiore targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooper
RND
Fiore
0/0R00/0

Hooper · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mitch Ramirez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim Miller
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay Guida
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Fiore · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Chase Hooper
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz Rebecki
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Chase Hooper · Nick Fiore
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