Darren Till vs Dricus Du Plessis — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Las Vegas, USA

10 Dec 2022

Middleweight

24%

Till

76%

Plessis

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 2:43

Darren Till

"The Gorilla"

18 – 5

6'0"74" reachSouthpaw33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 22

Dricus Du Plessis

"Stillknocks"

23 – 3

Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'1"

CFR 72

★ Official Result

Dricus Du PlessiswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:43

def. Darren Till · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Plessis

→

Actual result

Plessis wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Plessis is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Till's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

TillPlessis

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Till

Plessis

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'1"

74"

Reach

+76"

Age

+32

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

Till

Plessis

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

22.4

72.2

44.3

Performance Avg

64.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Till

Plessis

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.4

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

4.0

Style: Pressure

6.9

6.4

Style: Volume

5.0

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

11Distance14

0Clinch0

0Ground2

Till

Plessis

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Till

Plessis

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/23 fights

Chin rating based on

11/26 fights

Till

Plessis

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R5

Till

Plessis

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Till

Plessis

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

1.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

4.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.9

6.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Till

Strike Zones

Plessis

Till

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Plessis

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Till targets the head (82% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 82% of strikes there

🎯Plessis targets the head (69% of attacks) — Till absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Till

RND

Plessis

0/0R00/0

Till · Last 5

L · Sub · R3

Dricus Du Plessis

Submission

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

L · Sub · R3

Derek Brunson

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09

L · Dec · R5

Robert Whittaker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

W · Dec · R3

Kelvin Gastelum

Decision

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

L · KO · R2

Jorge Masvidal

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03

Plessis · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Sub · R4

Israel Adesanya

Submission

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

W · Dec · R5

Sean Strickland

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Darren Till · Dricus Du Plessis

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