UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Welterweight
VS
92%
Miller
8%
Funch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Funch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Funch has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Funch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Funch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
1.5
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Funch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
4
5
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance7
10Clinch0
8Ground0
Miller
Funch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Funch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Miller
Funch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Funch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Funch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerFunch
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedFunch
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (83% of attacks) — Funch absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Funch targets the head (57% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Funch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Funch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Funch · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Dan MillerRating 4Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
L · Sub · R2
Claude PatrickRating 2.8Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12