METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Zellhuber
53%
Prado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel ZellhuberwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Prado · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prado
→
Actual result
Zellhuber wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 47% vs Prado at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Prado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZellhuberPrado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zellhuber
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
69"
27
Age
+24
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
48.9
37.0
Performance Avg
42.7
33
Quality of Victory
60
55
Momentum Score
26
Zellhuber
Prado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
7.5
6.2
Style: Volume
0.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
10
8
Body
10
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
42Distance29
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Prado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zellhuber
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Zellhuber
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Zellhuber
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zellhuber
Prado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
ZellhuberPrado
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedPrado
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (72% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (34% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 34% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zellhuber
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0
Zellhuber · Last 5
L · KO · R2
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosSubmission
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Prado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

