UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Zellhuber
53%
Prado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
15 – 4
6'1"77" reachSwitch26 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Francisco
Francisco Prado
12 – 5
Knockout Artist4-fight slide23 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prado

This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 47% vs Prado at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Prado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Striking split: Zellhuber throws more volume but Prado connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Zellhuber
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
69"
26
Age
+23
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
48.9
37.0
Performance Avg
42.7
33
Quality of Victory
60
55
Momentum Score
26
Zellhuber
Prado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
34%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
10
8
Body
10
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
42Distance29
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Prado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zellhuber
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Zellhuber
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Zellhuber
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zellhuber
Prado
Striking0.9 / 10.0Volume6.2 / 0.3Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Zellhuber
Strike Zones
Prado
Zellhuber
Attacking
31HEAD8BODY4LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD10BODY9LEGS29 absorbed
Prado
Attacking
10HEAD10BODY9LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD8BODY4LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (72% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (34% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 34% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zellhuber
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0

Zellhuber · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.6L5.0W5.4W5.2W6.2L5.6L3.5L2022-092023-092024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Prado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.7L5.8W5.9L6.5L5.9L6.7L2023-022023-072024-022025-022025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Prado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Daniel Zellhuber · Francisco Prado
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