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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Montreal, Canada
11 Dec 2010
Lightweight
VS
52%
Stevenson
48%
Danzig
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
3316
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
MD
Mac Danzig
2112
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Mac DanzigwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:54
def. Joe Stevenson · UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stevenson
Actual result
Danzig wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 52% vs Danzig at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Danzig has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StevensonDanzig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Stevenson
Danzig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stevenson
Danzig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.9
49.2
Performance Avg
46.0
49
Quality of Victory
51
86
Momentum Score
65
Stevenson
Danzig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.3
4.0
Style: Volume
4.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Stevenson
Danzig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stevenson
Danzig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Stevenson
Danzig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stevenson
Danzig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stevenson
Danzig
Striking2.3 / 2.8Volume4.0 / 4.0Grappling3.9 / 4.2Wrestling2.7 / 2.9Submission3.8 / 4.0Pressure5.0 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Stevenson
Strike Zones
Danzig
Stevenson
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Danzig
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Danzig targets the head (78% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stevenson
RND
Danzig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier Vazquez
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny Castillo
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac Danzig
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George Sotiropoulos
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer Fisher
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe Lauzon
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin Guillard
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori Gomi
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain Escudero
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt Wiman
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Joe Stevenson · Mac Danzig
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