UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Montreal, Canada
11 Dec 2010
Lightweight
VS
52%
Stevenson
48%
Danzig
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
33 – 16
5'7"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
MD
Mac Danzig
21 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stevenson

This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 52% vs Danzig at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Danzig has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Stevenson
Danzig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stevenson
Danzig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.9
49.2
Performance Avg
46.0
49
Quality of Victory
51
86
Momentum Score
65
Stevenson
Danzig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Stevenson
Danzig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stevenson
Danzig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Stevenson
Danzig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stevenson
Danzig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stevenson
Danzig
Striking2.3 / 2.8Volume4.0 / 4.0Grappling3.9 / 4.2Wrestling2.7 / 2.9Submission3.8 / 4.0Pressure5.0 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Stevenson
Strike Zones
Danzig
Stevenson
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Danzig
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Danzig targets the head (78% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stevenson
RND
Danzig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stevenson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L4.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L2005-112007-042008-112010-022011-06
WinLossTrend

Danzig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.5W6.0L2.8L5.9L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2007-122009-072011-102013-12
WinLossTrend

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Joe Stevenson · Mac Danzig
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