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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Lightweight
VS
95%
Silva
5%
Ronson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:08
Joaquim
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
146
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
JR
Jesse Ronson
"The Body Snatcher"
2112
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Joaquim SilvawinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:08
def. Jesse Ronson · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Silva is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ronson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SilvaRonson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Silva
Ronson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Ronson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
2.6
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
67
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Ronson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
9
Body
2
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance14
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Silva
Ronson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Ronson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Silva
Ronson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Ronson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Ronson
Striking5.5 / 0.0Volume5.7 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Ronson
Silva
Attacking
13HEAD9BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Ronson
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD9BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (52% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Ronson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Ronson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio Puelles
Decision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar Klose
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay Guida
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman Tsarukyan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse Ronson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

Ronson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joaquim Silva
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Rafa Garcia
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas Dalby
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin Lee
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Francisco Trinaldo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

News & Media

Joaquim Silva · Jesse Ronson
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