UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Montreal, Canada
11 Dec 2010
Middleweight
VS
41%
Doerksen
59%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Joe Doerksen
"El Dirte"
51 – 16
6'0"75" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 12
DM
Dan Miller
14 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Doerksen at 41% vs Miller at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Doerksen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Doerksen's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Doerksen
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
48
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Doerksen
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
16.9
37.2
Performance Avg
43.7
47
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
51
Doerksen
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground2
Doerksen
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Doerksen
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/67 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Doerksen
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Doerksen
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Doerksen
Miller
Striking0.4 / 0.9Volume0.4 / 3.6Grappling8.0 / 6.1Wrestling5.6 / 4.3Submission10.0 / 6.7Pressure7.7 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Doerksen
Strike Zones
Miller
Doerksen
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Doerksen targets the head (80% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Doerksen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Doerksen
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0

Doerksen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.2L2.8L5.2W1.5L5.5L2004-082006-032010-052010-12
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W1.5L5.5L2008-092010-022011-032015-07
WinLossTrend

Doerksen · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
CB DollawayRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Tom LawlorRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R2
Jason MacDonaldRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03

News & Media

Joe Doerksen · Dan Miller
← Back to fights