UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Garbrandt
47%
Long
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
15 – 7
5'8"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 57
Xiao
Xiao Long
27 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garbrandt

This is a genuine toss-up — Garbrandt at 53% vs Long at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Long has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Garbrandt
Long
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
65"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Long
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
50.2
51.6
Performance Avg
40.0
47
Quality of Victory
50
97
Momentum Score
43
Garbrandt
Long
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
7
Body
11
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance10
6Clinch3
0Ground5
Garbrandt
Long
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garbrandt
Long
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/38 fights
Garbrandt
Long
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Garbrandt
Long
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garbrandt
Long
Striking7.2 / 10.0Volume4.4 / 0.5Grappling1.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Garbrandt
Strike Zones
Long
Garbrandt
Attacking
3HEAD7BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD11BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Long
Attacking
5HEAD11BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD7BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the body (64% of attacks) — Long absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Long targets the body (61% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garbrandt
RND
Long
0/0R00/0

Garbrandt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.2L1.6L2.0L5.2W6.7L2.4L4.5W5.3W3.8L6.3L5.3W2015-012016-122021-052025-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Long · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.5
0106.8L6.0W6.7L6.6L2024-062024-112025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Garbrandt · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Long · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
SuYoung YouRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · KO · R3
Quang LeRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

News & Media

Cody Garbrandt · Xiao Long
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