UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Lightweight
VS
8%
Prepolec
92%
Dober
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
Dober is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Dober has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Prepolec's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prepolec
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
36+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Prepolec
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
5.0
59.9
0.0
Performance Avg
53.2
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
100
Prepolec
Dober
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.9
33%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
16
1
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance14
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Prepolec
Dober
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prepolec
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Prepolec
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prepolec
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prepolec
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
PrepolecDober
Strike Zones
Prepolec
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedDober
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prepolec targets the head (71% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (80% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prepolec
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Prepolec · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Prepolec · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
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