METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Lightweight
VS
5%
Prepolec
95%
Dober
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:16
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:16
def. Kyle Prepolec · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Prepolec's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PrepolecDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Prepolec
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Prepolec
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.2
59.9
0.0
Performance Avg
53.2
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
100
Prepolec
Dober
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.3
0.0
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
16
1
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance14
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Prepolec
Dober
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prepolec
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Prepolec
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prepolec
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prepolec
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
PrepolecDober
Strike Zones
Prepolec
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedDober
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prepolec targets the head (71% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (80% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prepolec
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Prepolec · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebDecision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02