METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Johns
59%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jean MatsumotowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miles Johns · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matsumoto
→
Actual result
Matsumoto wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johns at 41% vs Matsumoto at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsMatsumoto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johns
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
55.1
45.6
Performance Avg
45.3
37
Quality of Victory
31
10
Momentum Score
88
Johns
Matsumoto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.8
5.7
Style: Volume
7.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
26
4
Body
8
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
27Distance39
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Johns
Matsumoto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johns
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Johns
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
88
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johns
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Matsumoto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
JohnsMatsumoto
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedMatsumoto
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (81% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (59% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Matsumoto
0/0R00/0
Johns · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gianni VazquezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
Matsumoto · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10