UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
40%
Johns
60%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Miles
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15 – 5
5'7"68" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Jean
Jean Matsumoto
17 – 2
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Matsumoto

Matsumoto holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Matsumoto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johns
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
52.4
41.8
Performance Avg
43.9
33
Quality of Victory
33
10
Momentum Score
75
Johns
Matsumoto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
26
4
Body
8
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
27Distance39
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Johns
Matsumoto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Johns
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
75
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johns
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johns
Matsumoto
Striking4.4 / 1.2Volume6.4 / 6.5Grappling1.6 / 4.3Wrestling1.1 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Johns
Strike Zones
Matsumoto
Johns
Attacking
22HEAD4BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD8BODY10LEGS44 absorbed
Matsumoto
Attacking
26HEAD8BODY10LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD4BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (81% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (59% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johns
RND
Matsumoto
0/0R00/0

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W3.8L5.5W5.5W4.8L4.5W4.7W4.7W6.5L6.4L4.0L2019-092021-082024-032025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Matsumoto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W4.9W6.7L4.5W7.0L2024-042024-102025-022025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Johns · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Matsumoto · Last 5

Upcoming
Bekzat Almakhan
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Miles Johns · Jean Matsumoto
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