UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Gonzaga
54%
Jordan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jordan
This is a genuine toss-up — Gonzaga at 46% vs Jordan at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jordan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gonzaga's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jordan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gonzaga
Jordan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gonzaga
Jordan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
21.9
53.9
Performance Avg
57.5
54
Quality of Victory
56
59
Momentum Score
72
Gonzaga
Jordan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Gonzaga
Jordan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gonzaga
Jordan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Gonzaga
Jordan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
72
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Gonzaga
Jordan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
92%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gonzaga
Jordan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
GonzagaJordan
Strike Zones
Gonzaga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJordan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (88% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Jordan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gonzaga absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gonzaga
RND
Jordan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gonzaga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gonzaga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03