UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Middleweight
VS
64%
Almeida
36%
Potieria
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Potieria has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Potieria throws more volume but Almeida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Potieria has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Almeida
Potieria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Potieria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.1
32.5
52.0
Performance Avg
35.5
47
Quality of Victory
43
58
Momentum Score
26
Almeida
Potieria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
2
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Almeida
Potieria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Potieria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Almeida
Potieria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Almeida
Potieria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Potieria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AlmeidaPotieria
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPotieria
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Potieria absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Potieria targets the head (56% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Potieria
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Potieria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Marco TulioRating 2.8KO/TKO
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Cesar AlmeidaRating 6.6Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Michel PereiraRating 2.1Submission
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