UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Nurmagomedov
39%
Kakhramonov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kakhramonov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
41.4
53.5
Performance Avg
47.7
47
Quality of Victory
35
87
Momentum Score
75
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch0
0Ground3
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Kakhramonov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
NurmagomedovKakhramonov
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedKakhramonov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kakhramonov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Kakhramonov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Kakhramonov
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Kakhramonov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellRating 6.5Decision
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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Kakhramonov · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Said NurmagomedovRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R3
Trevin JonesRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
