UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Bantamweight
VS
34%
Turcios
66%
Hiestand
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hiestand
Hiestand holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Turcios has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hiestand has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Turcios throws more volume but Hiestand connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Turcios
Hiestand
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
32
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Turcios
Hiestand
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
57.3
28.3
Performance Avg
54.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
30
Momentum Score
87
Turcios
Hiestand
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
24
8
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance23
14Clinch4
0Ground0
Turcios
Hiestand
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turcios
Hiestand
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Turcios
Hiestand
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
87
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Turcios
Hiestand
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turcios
Hiestand
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
TurciosHiestand
Strike Zones
Turcios
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedHiestand
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turcios targets the head (84% of attacks) — Hiestand absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Hiestand targets the head (89% of attacks) — Turcios absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turcios
RND
Hiestand
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Turcios · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Hiestand · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Turcios · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alberto MontesRating 4.9Submission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · Sub · R2
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin NatividadRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
Hiestand · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08