UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Sunrise, USA
8 Jun 2012
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Wineland
33%
Jorgensen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wineland
Wineland holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Jorgensen has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Wineland throws more volume but Jorgensen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jorgensen has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wineland
Jorgensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
66"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wineland
Jorgensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
14.1
45.0
Performance Avg
37.9
50
Quality of Victory
41
78
Momentum Score
54
Wineland
Jorgensen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
38%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
16
3
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance20
0Clinch2
3Ground0
Wineland
Jorgensen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wineland
Jorgensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Wineland
Jorgensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Wineland
Jorgensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wineland
Jorgensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
WinelandJorgensen
Strike Zones
Wineland
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedJorgensen
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (73% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wineland
RND
Jorgensen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jorgensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03