UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
66%
Mazo
34%
Kish
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:57
SM
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
9 – 4
5'7"70" reachOrthodox29 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
JK
Justine Kish
7 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mazo

Mazo holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kish has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mazo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Mazo
Kish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
64"
29+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mazo
Kish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.5
11.5
36.1
Performance Avg
32.1
32
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
30
Mazo
Kish
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
6
Body
9
22
Leg
12
RangeRange
48Distance31
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Mazo
Kish
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mazo
Kish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/11 fights
Mazo
Kish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
30
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Mazo
Kish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mazo
Kish
Striking0.9 / 0.9Volume6.2 / 8.9Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Mazo
Strike Zones
Kish
Mazo
Attacking
24HEAD6BODY22LEGS52 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD9BODY12LEGS31 absorbed
Kish
Attacking
10HEAD9BODY12LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD6BODY22LEGS52 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mazo targets the head (46% of attacks) — Kish absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Kish targets the legs (39% of attacks) — Mazo absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mazo
RND
Kish
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mazo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.1L4.5W5.1W5.5W5.5L4.3L3.6L2019-032020-012021-022022-03
WinLossTrend

Kish · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L2016-012017-062020-012021-04
WinLossTrend

Mazo · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Miranda MaverickRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Mariya AgapovaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Sub · R3
Justine KishRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Kish · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Ji Yeon KimRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Felice HerrigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06

News & Media

Sabina Mazo · Justine Kish
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