METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Featherweight
VS
80%
Allen
20%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Arnold AllenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nik Lentz · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Allen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Allen is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lentz throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AllenLentz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Allen
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
16.0
52.8
Performance Avg
45.3
35
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
53
Allen
Lentz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
2
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Allen
Lentz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Allen
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Allen
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Allen
Lentz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
AllenLentz
Strike Zones
Allen
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLentz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (86% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (44% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Allen
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Allen · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10