UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Lightweight
VS
53%
Sotiropoulos
47%
Noons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sotiropoulos
This is a genuine toss-up — Sotiropoulos at 53% vs Noons at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Noons has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sotiropoulos's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
16.1
51.8
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
43
51
Momentum Score
43
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
28%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
1
Body
8
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sotiropoulos
Noons
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SotiropoulosNoons
Strike Zones
Sotiropoulos
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedNoons
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sotiropoulos targets the head (58% of attacks) — Noons absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Noons targets the head (62% of attacks) — Sotiropoulos absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sotiropoulos
RND
Noons
0/0R00/0
Sotiropoulos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Noons · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sotiropoulos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
KJ NoonsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · KO · R3
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Sub · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Noons · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
Alex OliveiraRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
Upcoming
Daron CruickshankThe Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Sam StoutRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10