UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Welterweight
VS
60%
Garry
40%
Kenan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:22
Ian
Ian Machado Garry
"The Future"
17 – 1
6'3"74" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Song
Song Kenan
"The Assassin"
22 – 9
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garry

Garry holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Kenan has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kenan throws more volume but Garry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kenan has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garry
Kenan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
71"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garry
Kenan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
42.8
57.1
Performance Avg
46.8
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
35
Garry
Kenan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.3
59%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
7
22
Body
1
12
Leg
8
RangeRange
63Distance16
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Garry
Kenan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garry
Kenan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Garry
Kenan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Garry
Kenan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garry
Kenan
Striking4.8 / 6.1Volume7.4 / 5.1Grappling1.7 / 1.2Wrestling1.2 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Garry
Strike Zones
Kenan
Garry
Attacking
36HEAD22BODY12LEGS70 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY8LEGS16 absorbed
Kenan
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY8LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD22BODY12LEGS70 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garry targets the head (51% of attacks) — Kenan absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Kenan targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garry
RND
Kenan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.9W5.1W5.5W5.3W7.6L6.7W5.6W2021-112023-032024-022025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Kenan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L4.5W6.2L4.6W2.5L2017-112019-082023-032024-082024-11
WinLossTrend

Garry · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Kenan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Ian Machado Garry · Song Kenan
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