METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Welterweight
VS
62%
Garry
38%
Kenan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:22
★ Official Result
Ian Machado GarrywinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:22
def. Song Kenan · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garry
→
Actual result
Garry wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Garry holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Kenan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kenan has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarryKenan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garry
Kenan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
71"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garry
Kenan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.9
38.5
54.0
Performance Avg
46.8
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
35
Garry
Kenan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
5.1
7.3
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
7
22
Body
1
12
Leg
8
RangeRange
63Distance16
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Garry
Kenan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garry
Kenan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Garry
Kenan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Garry
Kenan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garry
Kenan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
GarryKenan
Strike Zones
Garry
Attacking
70 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedKenan
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
70 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garry targets the head (51% of attacks) — Kenan absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Kenan targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garry
RND
Kenan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garry · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
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W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
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Carlos PratesDecision
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L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Kenan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R3
Ian Machado GarryKO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03