UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
65%
Prochazka
35%
Rakic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prochazka
Prochazka holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prochazka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Prochazka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prochazka
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prochazka
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
37.5
60.9
Performance Avg
43.8
57
Quality of Victory
37
98
Momentum Score
25
Prochazka
Rakic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.5
64%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
15
3
Body
1
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
30Distance21
6Clinch1
17Ground0
Prochazka
Rakic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prochazka
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Prochazka
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Prochazka
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prochazka
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
ProchazkaRakic
Strike Zones
Prochazka
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedRakic
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the head (87% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (68% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prochazka
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Prochazka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Rakic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Prochazka · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Rakic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03