UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2022
Middleweight
VS
30%
Alvey
70%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
54.6
44.3
Performance Avg
55.3
45
Quality of Victory
53
43
Momentum Score
52
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
18
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
52
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
AlveyOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the body (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (82% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08