METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2022
Middleweight
VS
30%
Alvey
70%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:56
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oleksiejczuk is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlveyOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
52.9
44.3
Performance Avg
54.0
45
Quality of Victory
53
43
Momentum Score
52
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
7.3
4.1
Style: Volume
2.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
18
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
52
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
AlveyOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the body (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (82% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08