UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
48%
Kenan
52%
Griffin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
This is a genuine toss-up — Kenan at 48% vs Griffin at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kenan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kenan's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kenan
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kenan
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
46.4
46.8
Performance Avg
39.0
42
Quality of Victory
37
35
Momentum Score
74
Kenan
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
5
Body
2
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Kenan
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kenan
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
48
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Kenan
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
74
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kenan
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
38%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kenan
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
KenanGriffin
Strike Zones
Kenan
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kenan targets the head (36% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (65% of attacks) — Kenan absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kenan
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kenan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Kenan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07