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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Seattle, USA
27 Jul 2013
Flyweight
VS
58%
Johnson
42%
Moraga
Win Probability
Submission
Round 5 · 3:43
DJ
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
27 – 3
5'3"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
JM
John Moraga
19 – 7
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Demetrious JohnsonwinsSubmissionR5 · 3:43
def. John Moraga · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Submission · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 58% vs Moraga at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Moraga throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonMoraga
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
18.3
69.9
Performance Avg
47.9
58
Quality of Victory
42
85
Momentum Score
64
Johnson
Moraga
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
6
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
11Ground1
Johnson
Moraga
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Johnson
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
64
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
63%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Moraga
Striking3.1 / 3.6Volume6.0 / 4.1Grappling4.0 / 3.9Wrestling2.8 / 2.7Submission3.3 / 3.8Pressure5.9 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Johnson
Strike Zones
Moraga
Johnson
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Moraga
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the body (43% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W7.0W4.5W6.5W4.6W5.2W5.5W7.0L2011-022013-012015-042017-102018-08
WinLossTrend

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Demetrious Johnson · John Moraga
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