UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Lightweight
VS
45%
Tibau
55%
Cholish
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:34
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JC
John Cholish
8 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cholish

This is a genuine toss-up — Tibau at 45% vs Cholish at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cholish has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Cholish has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tibau
Cholish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Cholish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.7
43.2
Performance Avg
46.3
34
Quality of Victory
55
74
Momentum Score
43
Tibau
Cholish
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
35%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tibau
Cholish
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Cholish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Tibau
Cholish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Tibau
Cholish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tibau
Cholish
Striking1.8 / 10.0Volume6.6 / 0.7Grappling3.6 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Tibau
Strike Zones
Cholish
Tibau
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Cholish
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cholish absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Cholish targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tibau
RND
Cholish
0/0R00/0

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Cholish · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L2.8L2011-122012-052013-05
WinLossTrend

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Cholish · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12

News & Media

Gleison Tibau · John Cholish
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