METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Barao
70%
Dillashaw
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:26
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:26
def. Renan Barao · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dillashaw has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaraoDillashaw
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barao
Dillashaw
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
67"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barao
Dillashaw
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
36.6
59.4
Performance Avg
62.3
64
Quality of Victory
56
0
Momentum Score
100
Barao
Dillashaw
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.5
4.6
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
21
1
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Barao
Dillashaw
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barao
Dillashaw
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Barao
Dillashaw
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Barao
Dillashaw
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
62%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barao
Dillashaw
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
BaraoDillashaw
Strike Zones
Barao
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedDillashaw
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the head (60% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (84% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barao
RND
Dillashaw
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11