UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
43%
Oki
57%
Cuamba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cuamba
This is a genuine toss-up — Oki at 43% vs Cuamba at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cuamba has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Oki throws more volume but Cuamba connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oki's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oki
Cuamba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oki
Cuamba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
41.8
31.0
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
40
Momentum Score
28
Oki
Cuamba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
4
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance12
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Oki
Cuamba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oki
Cuamba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Oki
Cuamba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Oki
Cuamba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oki
Cuamba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
OkiCuamba
Strike Zones
Oki
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedCuamba
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oki targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cuamba absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Cuamba targets the head (46% of attacks) — Oki absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oki
RND
Cuamba
0/0R00/0
Oki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Cuamba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oki · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manoel SousaRating 6.2KO/TKO
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Cuamba · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Benardo SopajRating 3.7Submission
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