UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Knutsson
53%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josefine
Josefine Knutsson
"Thunder"
8 – 1
5'3"60" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Piera
Piera Rodriguez
"La Fiera"
12 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak33 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Knutsson at 47% vs Rodriguez at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Knutsson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Knutsson
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
60"
Reach
+63"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
50.4
41.7
Performance Avg
43.6
25
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
85
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
85
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Knutsson
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Knutsson
Rodriguez
Striking1.3 / 1.4Volume9.3 / 9.4Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 2.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
Knutsson
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Knutsson
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Knutsson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (80% of attacks) — Knutsson absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Knutsson
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Knutsson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.1W6.3L2023-092024-062024-12
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.2W4.0L5.7L5.0W4.9W5.2W2022-042023-042024-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Knutsson · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Marnic MannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Josefine KnutssonRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · R2
Ariane CarnelossiRating 5.7
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Josefine Knutsson · Piera Rodriguez
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