UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
49%
Malkoun
51%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
This is a genuine toss-up — Malkoun at 49% vs Meerschaert at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Malkoun has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
56.7
44.7
Performance Avg
48.2
30
Quality of Victory
50
98
Momentum Score
91
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
61%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
3
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
91
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malkoun
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MalkounMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Malkoun
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malkoun targets the head (75% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (75% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malkoun
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Malkoun · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Malkoun · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 4.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · R1
Cody BrundageRating 4.5UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Nick MaximovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

