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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher
Hollywood, USA
12 Jun 2007
Lightweight
VS
81%
Mohr
19%
Caudillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NM
Nate Mohr
97
5'9"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
LC
Luke Caudillo
"Lil' Hulk"
1717
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Nate MohrwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Luke Caudillo · UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mohr
Actual result
Mohr wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Mohr is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mohr has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Mohr's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MohrCaudillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Mohr
Caudillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"
Reach
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mohr
Caudillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.1
2.1
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Mohr
Caudillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
5
2
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
29Distance9
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Mohr
Caudillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mohr
Caudillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/34 fights
Mohr
Caudillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Mohr
Caudillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mohr
Caudillo
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Mohr
Strike Zones
Caudillo
Mohr
Attacking
27HEAD2BODY2LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Caudillo
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD2BODY2LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mohr targets the head (87% of attacks) — Caudillo absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Caudillo targets the head (56% of attacks) — Mohr absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mohr
RND
Caudillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mohr · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Dennis Siver
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Manvel Gamburyan
Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
W · Dec · R3
Luke Caudillo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Sub · R1
Kurt Pellegrino
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04

Caudillo · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Marcus Aurelio
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
L · Dec · R3
Nate Mohr
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06

News & Media

Nate Mohr · Luke Caudillo
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