UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
66%
Prazeres
34%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prazeres
Prazeres holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Green has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Green throws more volume but Prazeres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Prazeres
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+73"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Prazeres
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
15.6
48.3
Performance Avg
43.1
33
Quality of Victory
34
85
Momentum Score
41
Prazeres
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
3
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance12
0Clinch1
8Ground0
Prazeres
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Prazeres
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prazeres
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
PrazeresGreen
Strike Zones
Prazeres
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGreen
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (65% of attacks) — Green absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (69% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prazeres
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Prazeres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Green · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02