UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Lightweight
VS
51%
Ribovics
49%
Radzhabov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Esteban
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
15 – 3
5'10"69" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Loik
Loik Radzhabov
"The Tajik Tank"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ribovics

This is a genuine toss-up — Ribovics at 51% vs Radzhabov at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Ribovics throws more volume but Radzhabov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Ribovics
Radzhabov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
69"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
45.5
43.1
Performance Avg
42.5
34
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
69
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
15
2
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance16
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/24 fights
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
69
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Ribovics
Radzhabov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ribovics
Radzhabov
Striking3.6 / 6.0Volume7.1 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Ribovics
Strike Zones
Radzhabov
Ribovics
Attacking
24HEAD2BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Radzhabov
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD2BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ribovics targets the head (89% of attacks) — Radzhabov absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Radzhabov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ribovics
RND
Radzhabov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ribovics · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.0L4.5W6.5W4.9W6.2L5.3W3.8L2023-032024-052025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Radzhabov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W3.3L5.7W5.6L2023-032023-062024-032024-07
WinLossTrend

Ribovics · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Radzhabov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz RebeckiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Esteban Ribovics · Loik Radzhabov
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