METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
53%
Murphy
47%
Cerminara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Murphy · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 53% vs Cerminara at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cerminara has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphyCerminara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Cerminara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+68"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Cerminara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
45.8
41.9
Performance Avg
40.9
34
Quality of Victory
25
87
Momentum Score
85
Murphy
Cerminara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
1.9
6.1
Style: Volume
9.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
16
2
Body
4
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance21
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Murphy
Cerminara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murphy
Cerminara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/24 fights
Murphy
Cerminara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Murphy
Cerminara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Cerminara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
MurphyCerminara
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedCerminara
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (63% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Cerminara targets the head (67% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Cerminara
0/0R00/0
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