UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
31%
Kasanganay
69%
Buckley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buckley
Buckley holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Kasanganay has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buckley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kasanganay's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kasanganay
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kasanganay
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
58.0
42.3
Performance Avg
50.6
37
Quality of Victory
41
57
Momentum Score
100
Kasanganay
Buckley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kasanganay
Buckley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kasanganay
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Kasanganay
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kasanganay
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kasanganay
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
KasanganayBuckley
Strike Zones
Kasanganay
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kasanganay targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kasanganay absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kasanganay
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kasanganay · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Kasanganay · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
W · Sub · R2
Sasha PalatnikovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
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