UFC 54: Boiling Point
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2005
Middleweight
VS
43%
Prangley
57%
Lutter
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TL
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lutter
This is a genuine toss-up — Prangley at 43% vs Lutter at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lutter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Prangley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lutter has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prangley
Lutter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
53
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prangley
Lutter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
22.2
42.3
Performance Avg
59.8
37
Quality of Victory
78
49
Momentum Score
59
Prangley
Lutter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
10%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Prangley
Lutter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prangley
Lutter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/45 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Prangley
Lutter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Prangley
Lutter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prangley
Lutter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PrangleyLutter
Strike Zones
Prangley
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLutter
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prangley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lutter absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prangley
RND
Lutter
0/0R00/0
Prangley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lutter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Prangley · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Chael SonnenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy HornRating 5.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
W · Dec · R3
Travis LutterRating 4.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Curtis StoutRating 5.2Submission
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
Lutter · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Rich FranklinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · Sub · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · Sub · R1
Patrick CoteRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R2
Matt LindlandRating 2.8Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04