METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
O'Malley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:51
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
5'7"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Sean
Sean O'Malley
"Suga"
19 – 3
Striker2-fight win streak31 yrsSwitch72" reach5'11"
CFR 66
★ Official Result
Sean O'MalleywinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:51
def. Aljamain Sterling · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Malley
→
Actual result
O'Malley wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs O'Malley at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SterlingO'Malley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
66.2
54.2
Performance Avg
60.5
38
Quality of Victory
48
71
Momentum Score
95
Sterling
O'Malley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.5
Style: Volume
4.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground14
Sterling
O'Malley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Sterling
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
95
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Sterling
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
O'Malley
Striking2.7 / 7.4Volume6.5 / 4.9Grappling3.2 / 1.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.7Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Sterling
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Sterling
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
O'Malley
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (75% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef Zalal
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian Ortega
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin Kattar
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

O'Malley · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Aiemann Zahabi
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song Yadong
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab Dvalishvili
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab Dvalishvili
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon Vera
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Sean O'Malley
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