METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
O'Malley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:51
★ Official Result
Sean O'MalleywinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:51
def. Aljamain Sterling · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Malley
→
Actual result
O'Malley wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs O'Malley at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingO'Malley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
65.3
54.2
Performance Avg
59.5
38
Quality of Victory
47
71
Momentum Score
95
Sterling
O'Malley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
62%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground14
Sterling
O'Malley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Sterling
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
95
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Sterling
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
O'Malley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
SterlingO'Malley
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedO'Malley
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (75% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03