★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Sterling
55%
O'Malley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:51
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
5'7"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Sean
Sean O'Malley
"Suga"
19 – 3
Striker31 yrsSwitch72" reach5'11"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: O'Malley

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 45% vs O'Malley at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sterling
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
65.3
54.2
Performance Avg
59.5
38
Quality of Victory
47
71
Momentum Score
95
Sterling
O'Malley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
62%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground14
Sterling
O'Malley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Sterling
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
95
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Sterling
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
O'Malley
Striking2.7 / 7.0Volume6.5 / 5.2Grappling3.2 / 1.1Wrestling2.3 / 0.8Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Sterling
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Sterling
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
O'Malley
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (75% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sterling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.3W4.5W5.0W6.5W5.9W6.0W5.2W6.0W3.6L5.0W6.8L5.9W5.5W2014-022017-042019-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

O'Malley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.5W5.5W5.0W6.0W6.1W5.3W6.8L4.0L5.8W2017-122020-082022-102025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

O'Malley · Last 5

Upcoming
Aiemann Zahabi
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Sean O'Malley
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