UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Flyweight
VS
52%
Moraga
48%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
John Moraga
19 – 7
5'6"66" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moraga

This is a genuine toss-up — Moraga at 52% vs Ortiz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Moraga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraga
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
17.2
47.9
Performance Avg
47.8
42
Quality of Victory
42
64
Momentum Score
45
Moraga
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
14
5
Body
0
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
1Clinch7
0Ground3
Moraga
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraga
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Moraga
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
45
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Moraga
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraga
Ortiz
Striking3.6 / 6.1Volume4.1 / 5.1Grappling3.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.7 / 0.8Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Moraga
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Moraga
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the body (45% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (78% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraga
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
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News & Media

John Moraga · Dustin Ortiz
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