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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Flyweight
VS
52%
Moraga
48%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
John Moraga
197
5'6"66" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
DO
Dustin Ortiz
198
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
John MoragawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Ortiz · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
Actual result
Moraga wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moraga at 52% vs Ortiz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoragaOrtiz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Moraga
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
17.0
47.9
Performance Avg
46.9
42
Quality of Victory
40
64
Momentum Score
45
Moraga
Ortiz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
5.2
4.1
Style: Volume
5.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
14
5
Body
0
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
1Clinch7
0Ground3
Moraga
Ortiz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Moraga
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
45
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Moraga
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraga
Ortiz
Striking3.6 / 6.1Volume4.1 / 5.1Grappling3.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.7 / 0.8Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Moraga
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Moraga
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the body (45% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (78% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraga
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson Figueiredo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson Reis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed Bibulatov
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan Mokhtarian
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio Pettis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph Benavidez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus Nicolau
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre Pantoja
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector Sandoval
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon Moreno
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

News & Media

John Moraga · Dustin Ortiz
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