UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Charlotte, USA
31 Mar 2010
Lightweight
VS
69%
Winner
31%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Andre Winner
21 – 11
5'11"73" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
RO
Rafaello Oliveira
"Tractor"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Winner

Winner holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Winner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Winner throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Winner
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Winner
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
7.2
38.8
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
15
Winner
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
29%
Strike Accuracy
30%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
2
Body
0
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance17
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Winner
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Winner
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Winner
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Winner
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Winner
Oliveira
Striking5.7 / 0.5Volume4.7 / 8.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Winner
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Winner
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY5LEGS18 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY5LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Winner targets the head (70% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (72% of attacks) — Winner absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Winner
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Winner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2009-062009-112010-032010-082010-112011-07
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L2.8L4.5W3.2L1.5L2009-092010-032011-102013-072014-02
WinLossTrend

Winner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Sub · R1
Dennis SiverRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafaello OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R1
Rolando DelgadoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

News & Media

Andre Winner · Rafaello Oliveira
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