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UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Moscow, Russia
15 Sept 2018
Heavyweight
VS
44%
Hunt
56%
Oleinik
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:26
MH
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13 – 14
5'10"72" reachOrthodox52 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
Submission Hunter49 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Aleksei OleinikwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:26
def. Mark Hunt · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleinik
→
Actual result
Oleinik wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hunt at 44% vs Oleinik at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Hunt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hunt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HuntOleinik
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hunt
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+80"
52
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hunt
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
26.5
53.0
Performance Avg
52.0
55
Quality of Victory
51
91
Momentum Score
39
Hunt
Oleinik
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hunt
Oleinik
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hunt
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Hunt
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Hunt
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hunt
Oleinik
Striking9.8 / 2.2Volume2.0 / 1.9Grappling0.3 / 6.5Wrestling0.2 / 4.5Submission0.0 / 7.8Pressure7.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Hunt
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Hunt
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Oleinik
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hunt targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hunt
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0

Hunt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W4.0L5.1W2.1L5.1L5.0W5.0W4.0L6.6W6.4L1.5L5.5L2010-092013-032015-052017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Hunt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Mark Hunt · Aleksei Oleinik
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