UFC 47: It's On!
Las Vegas, USA
2 Apr 2004
Welterweight
VS
94%
Lytle
6%
Ghosn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:55
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
5'11"68" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TG
Tiki Ghosn
10 – 7
Well-Rounded4-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 1

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lytle

Lytle is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ghosn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lytle
Ghosn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
51
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Ghosn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
1.2
46.2
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Lytle
Ghosn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
32%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance5
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Lytle
Ghosn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lytle
Ghosn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Lytle
Ghosn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lytle
Ghosn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lytle
Ghosn
Striking2.0 / 0.0Volume3.4 / 0.0Grappling5.5 / 0.0Wrestling3.9 / 0.0Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lytle
Strike Zones
Ghosn
Lytle
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Ghosn
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ghosn absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Ghosn targets the body (50% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lytle
RND
Ghosn
0/0R00/0

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Ghosn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0102.8L2.8L1.8L2.8L2000-032001-022002-112004-04
WinLossTrend

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Ghosn · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Chris LytleRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
L · Sub · R2
Sean SherkRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 30: Battle on the Boardwalk · 2001-02
L · Sub · R2
Bob CookRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03

News & Media

Chris Lytle · Tiki Ghosn
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