METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 47: It's On!
Las Vegas, USA
2 Apr 2004
Welterweight
VS
94%
Lytle
6%
Ghosn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:55
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
3118
5'11"68" reachOrthodox52 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TG
Tiki Ghosn
107
Well-Rounded4-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 1
★ Official Result
Chris LytlewinsSubmissionR2 · 1:55
def. Tiki Ghosn · UFC 47: It's On!

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
Actual result
Lytle wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Lytle is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Risk flags

Ghosn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LytleGhosn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lytle
Ghosn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
52
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Ghosn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
1.2
46.2
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Lytle
Ghosn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.4
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance5
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Lytle
Ghosn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lytle
Ghosn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Lytle
Ghosn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lytle
Ghosn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lytle
Ghosn
Striking2.0 / 0.0Volume3.4 / 0.0Grappling5.5 / 0.0Wrestling3.9 / 0.0Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lytle
Strike Zones
Ghosn
Lytle
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Ghosn
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ghosn absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Ghosn targets the body (50% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lytle
RND
Ghosn
0/0R00/0

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan Hardy
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian Ebersole
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt Serra
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt Brown
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian Foster
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Ghosn · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Chris Lytle
Submission
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
L · KO · R1
Robbie Lawler
KO/TKO
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
L · Sub · R2
Sean Sherk
Submission
UFC 30: Battle on the Boardwalk · 2001-02
L · Sub · R2
Bob Cook
Submission
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03

News & Media

Chris Lytle · Tiki Ghosn
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